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Bob Brinker Fan Club
Bob Brinker Fan Club
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Excerpt from David K's Interpretation of Moneytalk (Bob Brinker Host) March 23, 2003 Newsletter
MARKET NUMBERS AS OF FRIDAY, MARCH 21, 2003
Dow: 8,521.97
NASDAQ: 1,421.84
S&P 500: 895.90
10-Yr. Bond: 4.095%
QQQ: $27.17
OPENING MONOLOGUE
Brinker Comment: Bob, the Valley Guy, started the broadcast off
noting that the market action last week was "totally awesome."
Indeed, it was the greatest week of stock market gains for the Dow
since 1982. Stocks went up every day during the week.
Bob addressed three factors that he believes are contributing to the
recent gains on Wall Street.
First, Bob thinks that investors last week were responding to the
collapse in the price of a barrel of oil. Just two weeks ago, oil
was almost $40 per barrel and the "bad news bears" were predicting that
oil prices could go to $100 per barrel. In the three words made
famous by daBrink, "they were wrong!" Today, oil prices are
closer to $27 per barrel as prices collapsed in the wake of the
developments over the past week. The widely anticipated
demolition of Iraqi oil wells did not occur, and instead an amazingly
small number of wells have been set ablaze. The drop in oil
prices has been one of the major contributors to the buying frenzy on
Wall Street. Investors recognize that a drop in oil prices
is the equivalent of a massive tax cut to the U.S. consumer who will
now have more money to spend on other items, rather than devoting their
income to energy costs.
Bob then noted the recent positive action of the U.S. Dollar. Bob
patted himself on the back for pointing out a few weeks ago that the
dollar had firmed up and was looking better after being in free-fall
for so long. Over the last few weeks, the dollar has been gaining
against the euro and the yen. A strengthening dollar is another
factor that has been contributing to the bullish behavior of U.S. stock
market investors. In response to a caller later in the weekend,
Bob won the award for modestly calling himself the "voice in the
wilderness" in his so-called "discussion" of the direction of the
dollar. Bob told the caller that he continues to believe the
trend in the dollar will remain strong.
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Finally, investors are encouraged by the Federal Reserve's stance on
monetary policy. The Federal Reserve is more accommodative than
at any point in time during Bob's entire life. This means easy
money in terms of lower interest rates. Likewise, the
current fiscal policy is also beneficial to the stock market. Our
government is running a deficit in the $300-$400 billion range and this
spending should have a simulative effect.
Part 2
IF YOU MISSED THE BUY SIGNAL, WHAT SHOULD YOU DO NOW?
Click to find out David's interpretation of what Bob said to do
- David K
DISCLAIMER: This e-mail is neither sanctioned by, nor written under the
auspices of ABC Radio Networks, Moneytalk or Bob Brinker. This e-mail
is not a substitute for listening to Moneytalk, it is only my
interpretation and commentary of some of what is discussed on
Moneytalk, along with additional educational information that I
include, editorial comments about the market and helpful financial
links. If you want to know what was said verbatim on Moneytalk, listen
to the show live or subscribe to "Moneytalk on Demand" which allows you
to listen to the show in case you missed it live. The web site,
bobbrinker.com has all the links to the ABC Radio Network stations that
broadcast the show live.
More Info:
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Kirk recommends his newsletter portfolio
as an ALTERNATIVE to the QQQQs that Bob Brinker recommends for his
three model portfolios. The
data here shows followers of Bob Brinker would TURBO CHARGE their
returns had they replaced his recommended QQQQ exchange traded fund
with the securities in my newsletter portfolio.
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