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Bob Brinker Fan Club Blog Posts   Eliminate  Moneytalk on Demand Fees
Dec. '09
 Bob Brinker Bullish for 2010 New!!  National Debt Passes $12.1 Trillion New!!
Nov '09
Latest I-Bond Rates  New!! Bob Brinker Moneytalk Summary New!!
Oct '09
Expected Inflation - TIPS Spread  Best Investment Newsletter 
Jan 09 Brinker Fixed Income Advisor 2008 Performance Bob Brinker Marketimer 2008 Performance
 
Dec 08
Pre-Refunded CA GO Bonds $50B Ponzi Scheme
Nov 08
Two of the Worst Stock Market Calls in History
Jan 08
Markets Plunge (to 1200s). Bob Brinker Says "Remain Fully Invested"
   

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Brinker Shadow 'Long Term Stock Market Timing Model' Updates by SteveT, BobN & KirkL
2008 Feb 2  Mar 1 Mar 29 New!!
Brinker failed to call bear market making model worthless
2007
Dec. 31 Feb 4  March 5 April 1 April 30
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Bob Brinker's QQQ Advice Effect of QQQ advice on reported results TEFQX Update

New : Asset Allocation History  - 5 Root Causes of a Bear Market  &  Brinker Biography & Bob Brinker Fan Club Blog

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Brinker Shadow 'Long Term Stock Market Timing Model' Updates by SteveT, BobN & KirkL
2007
Dec. 31 Feb 4  March 5 April 1 April 30
June 3
July 1
Nov 6 - New!!

2006 March April July August October  November



 Good Bob Brinker Information
Brinker DiscussionBuy Sell "Gift Horse" Levels
Asset Allocation History QQQQ Update
TEFQX Update
I Bonds Explained Affect of QQQ advice on reported results
GNMA DiscussionGNMA ChartsMarch 2003 Buy Signal Pt1March 2003 Buy Signal Pt2

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Bob Brinker Articles by Peter Brimelow (Brimelow writes to advertise Mark Hulbert's newsletter)
2006
Feb: Marketimer Still Bullish mid 1300 S&P target
Aug: Still Bullish  with 1350-1400 S&P Target
2005
Jan : "Moderately favorable"
May Still Bullish
Aug Bullish, buy below 1160


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QQQQ Controversy: The results were a disaster but the advice is not reflected in Bob's official record.
Summary
Oct 2000 Bulletin
Oct 2000 Letter to Managed Accounts
Peter Brimelow on cover-up

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In Bob Brinker’s January 2000 Marketimer newsletter he published his “Five Root Causes for a Bear Market.”

They are:

  1. Tight Money:
  2. Rising Rates:
  3. High Inflation:
  4. Rapid Growth:
  5. Over Valuation:

In January 2000, he took 60% out of the market because:

  1. Tight Money:He said the Fed was reducing M2 to slow growth - BEARISH

  2. Rising Rates:He was predicting higher long and short term rates to continue. This did not happen but it was – BEARISH for his model..

  3. High Inflation:He said the CPI was approaching 3% and import prices were up 5% which would further impact inflation. We didn’t get high inflation, but this was BEARISH for his model none the less.

  4. Rapid Growth:Real GDP growth was approaching 5%. Bob felt the FED would use rates to try and slow this. This was BEARISH and correct.

  5. Over Valuation: “We believe valuation levels in the U.S. market are stretched to the limit.” BEARISH
All 5 of his root causes were BEARISH. On the radio program he said he was not bearish but the odds favored a decline over the market going up more than 5%. As such, he recommended reducing equity allocation from 100% to 40% in his model portfolio numbers one and two. He also lowered his P3 equity allocation from 50% to 20%.

Read the rest of this report, including where the "5 root causes for a bear market" are today, here.



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"Brinker is a former stockbroker who has more than 25 years of investment management experience. He got his first taste of the radio business in the 1960s. While a student at Temple University, Brinker took a dual major in radio and television communications and finance. He later hosted a nightly rock 'n' roll radio show in Santa Fe, N.M. He began doing a financial talk program in 1981 and took the show national on Super Bowl Sunday 1986." --Daily Press, November 8, 2000

Bob Brinker is currently host of ABC Radio's "Money Talk" and he edits a newsletter titled "Marketimer"

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What about Bob Brinker & QQQQ?
October 16, 2000 subscribers got a special bulletin advising them to "Act Immediately" and buy QQQ in anticipation of a 2 to 4 months "counter trend rally" for a 20% or more gain with 20 to 50% of cash reserves. Callers to the office were told "Bob is comfortable with QQQ at $86."   The results were a disaster but the advice is not reflected in Bob's official record. Follow the link for the full story.



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What about Bob Brinker & QQQQ?
The results were a disaster but the advice is not reflected in Bob's official record.


Other Investment Gurus
Other investment gurus to keep an eye on.

How Old is Bob Brinker?
Bob was 57 in 1999. That would make him 67 in 2009.

Bob Brinker Definitinos:

Secular Bear Market Definition
"In a secular bear market, the bull markets are smaller than the bear markets and do not wipe out the losses of the previous bear market."

NBR 1999 07/23 Appearance
Kirk's MSFT Question for Bob Brinker asked by Paul Kangas on National TV!




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