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3/29/08 Updarte: Check out this PDF file: "Take Profits & Sell Sentiment Indicators from The Market Top." The page of my newsletter is from last year with the markets near an all time high at 1540.  The S&P500 was at 1540 when I said take profits in my monthly newsletter shortly after we had all five of the indicators say BUY on a correction. Unlike on October 19, 2007, I am NOT saying to sell or take profits now!!!

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Brinker Shadow 'Long Term Stock Market Timing Model' Updates by SteveT, BobN & KirkL
2008 Feb 2  Mar 1 Mar 29 New!!






2007
Dec. 31 Feb 4  March 5 April 1 April 30
June 3
July 1
Nov 6
Dec 1
Dec 29 
2006 March April July August October  November




(NEW!) Bob Brinker Fan Club Blog Posts  (NEW!)
Apr '08 2008 Earnings Estimate
Bob & Ben On High Inflation


Mar '08
Bear Stearns & JP Morgan Guest Larry Swedroe Guest Dr. Dan Ariely

Feb '08
Bearish Sentiment Data Good News
 Low 1300s Buy Level
Fan Club Update

Jan. '0860-day Put Call Ratio
Critical Mass Definition Jim Cramer


Nov. 2007 Blog ArticlesBob Brinker Timing Model Update - Bob Brinker Still Bullish - Fan Club Special Alert   
Articles about Bob Brinker posted on our "Bob Brinker Fan Club Blog"
bobbrinkerfanclub.blogspot.com

Bob Brinker Fan Club Blog
More Articles about Bob Brinker

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Honeybee's Bob Brinker Beehive Buzz Blog 

"Moneytalk wthi Bob Brinker" Show summaries and more
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I Bonds Explained  -  I-Bond Facts
home.netcom.com/%7Ekirklindstrom/Fixed_Income/iBonds.html




Honey's Bob Brinker Beehive Buzz Updates:
"Moneytalk wthi Bob Brinker" Show summaries and more
November  17-18, 10-11          October 28, 13           
http://honeysbobbrinkerbeehivebuzz.blogspot.com/

More Bob Brinker Fan Club Blog Posts
Oct '07:    Bob is Bullish    Why?
Sept '07  60-day Put Call Ratio    Dollar Cost Average or Lump Sum?
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Notice.  Many of the pages on our sister website have been so popular this month that the website exceeded its monthly traffic allotment. Access to that website will be restored on the first of next month.  We are in the process of moving the files to a web site that has near unlimitted bandwidth so this won't happen again.   The links above all work but the links below may not work until December 1.  Sorry.
  Charts For
DJIA - S&P500 - NASDAQ - NYSE  - QQQQ - Russell 2000Russell 3000 - Wilshire 5000
VFIIX (Vanguard GNMA Fund) - Crude Oil



Bob Brinker's QQQ Advice Effect of QQQ advice on reported results TEFQX Update

New : Asset Allocation History  - 5 Root Causes of a Bear Market  &  Brinker Biography & Bob Brinker Fan Club Blog

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new site =>
Bob Brinker Fan Club & Discussion Forum


Brinker Shadow 'Long Term Stock Market Timing Model' Updates by SteveT, BobN & KirkL
2007
Dec. 31 Feb 4  March 5 April 1 April 30
June 3
July 1
Nov 6 - New!!

2006 March April July August October  November



 Good Bob Brinker Information
Brinker DiscussionBuy Sell "Gift Horse" Levels
Asset Allocation History QQQQ Update
TEFQX Update
I Bonds Explained Affect of QQQ advice on reported results
GNMA DiscussionGNMA ChartsMarch 2003 Buy Signal Pt1March 2003 Buy Signal Pt2

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Bigger Charts for  DJIA - S&P500 - NASDAQ - NYSE Composite - QQQQ - Russell 2000 -
                            Russell 3000 - Wilshire 5000VFIIX (Vanguard GNMA Fund) - Crude Oil

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Bob Brinker Articles by Peter Brimelow (Brimelow writes to advertise Mark Hulbert's newsletter)
2006
Feb: Marketimer Still Bullish mid 1300 S&P target
Aug: Still Bullish  with 1350-1400 S&P Target
2005
Jan : "Moderately favorable"
May Still Bullish
Aug Bullish, buy below 1160


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QQQQ Controversy: The results were a disaster but the advice is not reflected in Bob's official record.
Summary
Oct 2000 Bulletin
Oct 2000 Letter to Managed Accounts
Peter Brimelow on cover-up

I recommend my newsletter EXPLORE portfolio as an ALTERNATIVE to the QQQQs that Bob Brinker recommends for his model portfolios.  Bob Brinker followers can TURBO CHARGE their returns with the securities in my newsletter portfolio.  Send for a FREE SAMPLE ISSUE today!

In Bob Brinker’s January 2000 Marketimer newsletter he published his “Five Root Causes for a Bear Market.”

They are:

  1. Tight Money:
  2. Rising Rates:
  3. High Inflation:
  4. Rapid Growth:
  5. Over Valuation:

In January 2000, he took 60% out of the market because:

  1. Tight Money:He said the Fed was reducing M2 to slow growth - BEARISH

  2. Rising Rates:He was predicting higher long and short term rates to continue. This did not happen but it was – BEARISH for his model..

  3. High Inflation:He said the CPI was approaching 3% and import prices were up 5% which would further impact inflation. We didn’t get high inflation, but this was BEARISH for his model none the less.

  4. Rapid Growth:Real GDP growth was approaching 5%. Bob felt the FED would use rates to try and slow this. This was BEARISH and correct.

  5. Over Valuation: “We believe valuation levels in the U.S. market are stretched to the limit.” BEARISH
All 5 of his root causes were BEARISH. On the radio program he said he was not bearish but the odds favored a decline over the market going up more than 5%. As such, he recommended reducing equity allocation from 100% to 40% in his model portfolio numbers one and two. He also lowered his P3 equity allocation from 50% to 20%.

Read the rest of this report, including where the "5 root causes for a bear market" are today, here.



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"Brinker is a former stockbroker who has more than 25 years of investment management experience. He got his first taste of the radio business in the 1960s. While a student at Temple University, Brinker took a dual major in radio and television communications and finance. He later hosted a nightly rock 'n' roll radio show in Santa Fe, N.M. He began doing a financial talk program in 1981 and took the show national on Super Bowl Sunday 1986." --Daily Press, November 8, 2000

Bob Brinker is currently host of ABC Radio's "Money Talk" and he edits a newsletter titled "Marketimer"

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What about Bob Brinker & QQQQ?
October 16, 2000 subscribers got a special bulletin advising them to "Act Immediately" and buy QQQ in anticipation of a 2 to 4 months "counter trend rally" for a 20% or more gain with 20 to 50% of cash reserves. Callers to the office were told "Bob is comfortable with QQQ at $86."   The results were a disaster but the advice is not reflected in Bob's official record. Follow the link for the full story.


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Bob Brinker Update for:

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What about Bob Brinker & QQQQ?
The results were a disaster but the advice is not reflected in Bob's official record.


Other Investment Gurus
Other investment gurus to keep an eye on.


How Old is Bob Brinker?
This article says he was 57 in 1999. That would make him 64 in 2006.


Secular Bear Market Definition
"In a secular bear market, the bull markets are smaller than the bear markets and do not wipe out the losses of the previous bear market."

NBR 1999 07/23 Appearance
Kirk's MSFT Question for Bob Brinker asked by Paul Kangas on National TV!




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Last Updated 04/08/08